
Perri
GKPLucas Estella Perri · Leeds · £4.5m · 0.6% owned · 0 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.1
xPts 3
3.1
xPts 5
5.2
Rating
10
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Perri here
- ▸Home vs BRE: we project LEE for 1.18 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸26% start probability, 22 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.00 xG90, 0.00 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 7%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.03 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 60/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸5.2 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (1.16 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs BRE
| Appearance points | 0.59 |
| Goal points | 0.00 |
| Assist points | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.28 |
| Save points | 0.19 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.03 |
| Goals conceded | -0.01 |
| Cards / other | -0.03 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.1 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BRE (H) | 22 | 0% | 7% | 1.1 |
| 3 | BHA (A) | 22 | 0% | 4% | 1.0 |
| 4 | NEW (H) | 22 | 0% | 6% | 1.0 |
| 5 | CRY (H) | 22 | 0% | 8% | 1.1 |
| 6 | ARS (A) | 22 | 0% | 2% | 1.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)92%
Chance of 5+ points3%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.00
xA90
0.00
xGI90
0.01
BPS90
12.4
DefCon90
0.0
Saves90
2.54
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NFO (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers