Bijol
DEFJaka Bijol · Leeds · £5.0m · 0.8% owned · 10 pts
🔥 Hot Form
xPts GW
2.0
xPts 3
5.6
xPts 5
9.1
Rating
30
SELLMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Bijol here
- ▸Home vs BRE: we project LEE for 1.18 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸57% start probability, 53 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.06 xG90, 0.04 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 15%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.11 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 41/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸9.1 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (1.82 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs BRE
| Appearance points | 1.15 |
| Goal points | 0.17 |
| Assist points | 0.06 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.61 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.09 |
| Bonus points | 0.11 |
| Goals conceded | -0.09 |
| Cards / other | -0.09 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.0 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BRE (H) | 52.5 | 3% | 15% | 2.0 |
| 3 | BHA (A) | 52.5 | 2% | 10% | 1.7 |
| 4 | NEW (H) | 52.5 | 3% | 13% | 1.9 |
| 5 | CRY (H) | 52.5 | 3% | 18% | 2.2 |
| 6 | ARS (A) | 52.5 | 2% | 5% | 1.3 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)75%
Chance of 5+ points14%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.06
xA90
0.04
xGI90
0.10
BPS90
18.0
DefCon90
9.9
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.66
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
10.0
PPM
10.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NFO (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 10 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers