Struijk
DEFPascal Struijk · Brighton · £5.0m · 0.2% owned · 0 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.5
xPts 3
6.2
xPts 5
10.0
Rating
35
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Struijk here
- ▸Away vs CHE: we project BHA for 1.12 goals (our difficulty 3.8/5)
- ▸56% start probability, 45 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.08 xG90, 0.03 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 8%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.06 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 42/100 — Flagged: 100% chance of playing
- ▸10.0 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (1.99 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at CHE
| Appearance points | 1.13 |
| Goal points | 0.20 |
| Assist points | 0.04 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.30 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.02 |
| Bonus points | 0.06 |
| Goals conceded | -0.14 |
| Cards / other | -0.08 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.5 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CHE (A) | 44.7 | 3% | 8% | 1.5 |
| 3 | LEE (H) | 44.7 | 5% | 21% | 2.3 |
| 4 | COV (A) | 44.7 | 6% | 21% | 2.4 |
| 5 | ARS (H) | 44.7 | 3% | 10% | 1.6 |
| 6 | SUN (A) | 44.7 | 5% | 17% | 2.1 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)86%
Chance of 5+ points9%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.08
xA90
0.03
xGI90
0.12
BPS90
13.6
DefCon90
8.7
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AVL (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers