Rodon
DEFJoe Rodon · Leeds · £4.5m · 3.6% owned · 6 pts
🔥 Hot Form
xPts GW
2.6
xPts 3
7.1
xPts 5
11.6
Rating
45
HOLDMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Rodon here
- ▸Home vs BRE: we project LEE for 1.18 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸78% start probability, 70 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.04 xG90, 0.03 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 20%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.12 expected bonus points
- ▸11.6 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (2.57 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs BRE
| Appearance points | 1.52 |
| Goal points | 0.17 |
| Assist points | 0.07 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.82 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.16 |
| Bonus points | 0.12 |
| Goals conceded | -0.20 |
| Cards / other | -0.07 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.6 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BRE (H) | 70.3 | 3% | 20% | 2.6 |
| 3 | BHA (A) | 70.3 | 2% | 13% | 2.1 |
| 4 | NEW (H) | 70.3 | 3% | 18% | 2.5 |
| 5 | CRY (H) | 70.3 | 3% | 24% | 2.8 |
| 6 | ARS (A) | 70.3 | 2% | 7% | 1.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)66%
Chance of 5+ points21%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.04
xA90
0.03
xGI90
0.07
BPS90
14.0
DefCon90
8.0
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.66
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
6.0
PPM
6.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NFO (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers