Bogle
DEFJayden Bogle · Leeds · £4.5m · 0.6% owned · 6 pts
🔥 Hot Form
xPts GW
2.5
xPts 3
6.8
xPts 5
11.0
Rating
42
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Bogle here
- ▸Home vs BRE: we project LEE for 1.18 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸75% start probability, 69 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.05 xG90, 0.07 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 20%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.13 expected bonus points
- ▸11.0 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (2.44 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs BRE
| Appearance points | 1.48 |
| Goal points | 0.20 |
| Assist points | 0.14 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.79 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.02 |
| Bonus points | 0.13 |
| Goals conceded | -0.18 |
| Cards / other | -0.11 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.5 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BRE (H) | 68.5 | 3% | 20% | 2.5 |
| 3 | BHA (A) | 68.5 | 3% | 13% | 2.0 |
| 4 | NEW (H) | 68.5 | 4% | 17% | 2.4 |
| 5 | CRY (H) | 68.5 | 4% | 24% | 2.7 |
| 6 | ARS (A) | 68.5 | 2% | 6% | 1.4 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)69%
Chance of 5+ points22%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.05
xA90
0.07
xGI90
0.13
BPS90
13.7
DefCon90
5.6
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.66
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
6.0
PPM
6.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NFO (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers