Muharemović
DEFTarik Muharemović · Leeds · £5.0m · 3.4% owned · 6 pts
🔥 Hot Form⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.5
xPts 3
4.1
xPts 5
6.7
Rating
18
SELLMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Muharemović here
- ▸Home vs BRE: we project LEE for 1.18 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸41% start probability, 38 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.06 xG90, 0.06 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 11%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.07 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 51/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸6.7 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (1.33 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs BRE
| Appearance points | 0.85 |
| Goal points | 0.13 |
| Assist points | 0.06 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.43 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.07 |
| Goals conceded | -0.04 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.5 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BRE (H) | 37.9 | 2% | 11% | 1.5 |
| 3 | BHA (A) | 37.9 | 2% | 7% | 1.2 |
| 4 | NEW (H) | 37.9 | 2% | 9% | 1.4 |
| 5 | CRY (H) | 37.9 | 3% | 13% | 1.6 |
| 6 | ARS (A) | 37.9 | 1% | 4% | 1.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)84%
Chance of 5+ points8%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.06
xA90
0.06
xGI90
0.12
BPS90
18.3
DefCon90
7.4
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.66
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
6.0
PPM
6.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NFO (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 6 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers