Aaronson
MIDBrenden Aaronson · Leeds · £5.5m · 0.9% owned · 3 pts
xPts GW
2.2
xPts 3
6.5
xPts 5
10.8
Rating
39
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Aaronson here
- ▸Home vs BRE: we project LEE for 1.18 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸73% start probability, 60 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.13 xG90, 0.11 xA90 (shrunk to 81 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.11 expected bonus points
- ▸10.8 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.95 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs BRE
| Appearance points | 1.44 |
| Goal points | 0.37 |
| Assist points | 0.19 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.19 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.01 |
| Bonus points | 0.11 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.07 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.2 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BRE (H) | 59.7 | 7% | 19% | 2.2 |
| 3 | BHA (A) | 59.7 | 6% | 12% | 2.0 |
| 4 | NEW (H) | 59.7 | 8% | 17% | 2.3 |
| 5 | CRY (H) | 59.7 | 8% | 23% | 2.4 |
| 6 | ARS (A) | 59.7 | 4% | 6% | 1.8 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)71%
Chance of 5+ points12%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.13
xA90
0.11
xGI90
0.24
BPS90
16.3
DefCon90
8.0
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.64
Minutes
81
Starts
1
Form
3.0
PPM
3.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NFO (A) | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 3 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers