Calvert-Lewin
FWDDominic Calvert-Lewin · Leeds · £6.0m · 29.3% owned · 1 pts
🎯 Penalty Taker⚽ Goal Threat
xPts GW
2.8
xPts 3
8.2
xPts 5
13.4
Rating
48
HOLDMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Calvert-Lewin here
- ▸Home vs BRE: we project LEE for 1.18 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸75% start probability, 68 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.49 xG90, 0.05 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.20 expected bonus points
- ▸13.4 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (2.23 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs BRE
| Appearance points | 1.46 |
| Goal points | 1.26 |
| Assist points | 0.10 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.00 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.20 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.20 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.8 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | BRE (H) | 67.7 | 27% | 20% | 2.8 |
| 3 | BHA (A) | 67.7 | 21% | 12% | 2.5 |
| 4 | NEW (H) | 67.7 | 29% | 17% | 3.0 |
| 5 | CRY (H) | 67.7 | 30% | 23% | 3.0 |
| 6 | ARS (A) | 67.7 | 16% | 6% | 2.1 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)63%
Chance of 5+ points25%
Chance of 10+ points3%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.49
xA90
0.05
xGI90
0.55
BPS90
12.8
DefCon90
3.4
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.66
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NFO (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers