Woodman
GKPFreddie Woodman · Liverpool · £4.0m · 1.1% owned · 0 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
0.6
xPts 3
1.7
xPts 5
2.9
Rating
4
AVOIDHIGHConfidence: LOWBUY BEFORE GW5
Why we rank Woodman here
- ▸Home vs NFO: we project LIV for 2.38 goals (our difficulty 1.0/5)
- ▸10% start probability, 10 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.00 xG90, 0.01 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 5%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.03 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 69/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸2.8 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.0m (0.71 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs NFO
| Appearance points | 0.31 |
| Goal points | 0.01 |
| Assist points | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.19 |
| Save points | 0.06 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.03 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.01 |
| Predicted FPL points | 0.6 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NFO (H) | 10.1 | 0% | 5% | 0.6 |
| 3 | IPS (A) | 10.1 | 0% | 4% | 0.6 |
| 4 | FUL (H) | 10.1 | 0% | 4% | 0.6 |
| 5 | BOU (A) | 10.1 | 0% | 3% | 0.6 |
| 6 | MCI (H) | 10.1 | 0% | 3% | 0.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)95%
Chance of 5+ points1%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.00
xA90
0.01
xGI90
0.01
BPS90
15.9
DefCon90
0.0
Saves90
2.99
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NEW (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers