
Frimpong
DEFJeremie Frimpong · Liverpool · £5.5m · 3.4% owned · 0 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
2.2
xPts 3
6.3
xPts 5
9.7
Rating
34
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOWBUY BEFORE GW5
Why we rank Frimpong here
- ▸Home vs NFO: we project LIV for 2.38 goals (our difficulty 1.0/5)
- ▸45% start probability, 42 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.04 xG90, 0.10 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 20%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.10 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 48/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸9.7 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.76 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs NFO
| Appearance points | 0.94 |
| Goal points | 0.21 |
| Assist points | 0.25 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.80 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.10 |
| Goals conceded | -0.02 |
| Cards / other | -0.13 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.2 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NFO (H) | 42.1 | 4% | 20% | 2.2 |
| 3 | IPS (A) | 42.1 | 4% | 17% | 2.0 |
| 4 | FUL (H) | 42.1 | 4% | 17% | 2.1 |
| 5 | BOU (A) | 42.1 | 3% | 14% | 1.8 |
| 6 | MCI (H) | 42.1 | 2% | 11% | 1.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)68%
Chance of 5+ points18%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.04
xA90
0.10
xGI90
0.15
BPS90
16.4
DefCon90
4.4
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.58
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NEW (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers