
Jacquet
DEFJeremy Jacquet · Liverpool · £5.0m · 2.4% owned · 1 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.5
xPts 3
4.4
xPts 5
6.8
Rating
24
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWBUY BEFORE GW5
Why we rank Jacquet here
- ▸Home vs NFO: we project LIV for 2.38 goals (our difficulty 1.0/5)
- ▸41% start probability, 29 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.05 xG90, 0.06 xA90 (shrunk to 69 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 12%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.06 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 51/100 — Flagged: 100% chance of playing
- ▸6.8 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (1.36 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs NFO
| Appearance points | 0.73 |
| Goal points | 0.16 |
| Assist points | 0.10 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.49 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.06 |
| Goals conceded | -0.01 |
| Cards / other | -0.04 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.5 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NFO (H) | 29.4 | 3% | 12% | 1.5 |
| 3 | IPS (A) | 29.4 | 3% | 10% | 1.4 |
| 4 | FUL (H) | 29.4 | 3% | 11% | 1.5 |
| 5 | BOU (A) | 29.4 | 2% | 8% | 1.3 |
| 6 | MCI (H) | 29.4 | 2% | 7% | 1.2 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)81%
Chance of 5+ points10%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.05
xA90
0.06
xGI90
0.11
BPS90
16.1
DefCon90
7.0
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.36
Minutes
69
Starts
1
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NEW (A) | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers