Gakpo
MIDCody Gakpo · Liverpool · £7.0m · 5.5% owned · 12 pts
🔥 Hot Form📉 Fixtures Worsening💰 Great Value🚩 Set Pieces
xPts GW
4.8
xPts 3
14.8
xPts 5
22.5
Rating
82
STRONG BUYLOWConfidence: LOWBUY BEFORE GW5
Why we rank Gakpo here
- ▸Home vs NFO: we project LIV for 2.38 goals (our difficulty 1.0/5)
- ▸79% start probability, 72 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.26 xG90, 0.16 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.54 expected bonus points
- ▸22.5 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £7.0m (3.21 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs NFO
| Appearance points | 1.55 |
| Goal points | 1.77 |
| Assist points | 0.65 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.35 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.02 |
| Bonus points | 0.54 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.07 |
| Predicted FPL points | 4.8 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NFO (H) | 71.9 | 30% | 35% | 4.8 |
| 3 | IPS (A) | 71.9 | 30% | 30% | 4.7 |
| 4 | FUL (H) | 71.9 | 34% | 30% | 5.3 |
| 5 | BOU (A) | 71.9 | 25% | 24% | 4.1 |
| 6 | MCI (H) | 71.9 | 21% | 19% | 3.7 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
4
Ceiling (90th)
10
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)31%
Chance of 5+ points45%
Chance of 10+ points11%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.26
xA90
0.16
xGI90
0.42
BPS90
18.6
DefCon90
7.0
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.58
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
12.0
PPM
12.0
G+A vs xGI
+0.6
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NEW (A) | 90 | 1 | 0 | 0.30 | 12 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers