Szoboszlai
MIDDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · £7.0m · 42.9% owned · 8 pts
🔥 Hot Form📉 Fixtures Worsening💰 Great Value🎯 Penalty Taker👑 Captain Pick🚩 Set Pieces
xPts GW
6.6
xPts 3
20.4
xPts 5
30.9
Rating
100
STRONG BUYLOWConfidence: LOWBUY BEFORE GW5
Why we rank Szoboszlai here
- ▸Home vs NFO: we project LIV for 2.38 goals (our difficulty 1.0/5)
- ▸87% start probability, 78 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.35 xG90, 0.20 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 1.04 expected bonus points
- ▸30.9 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £7.0m (4.41 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs NFO
| Appearance points | 1.68 |
| Goal points | 2.57 |
| Assist points | 0.90 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.38 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.16 |
| Bonus points | 1.04 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.15 |
| Predicted FPL points | 6.6 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NFO (H) | 78.3 | 40% | 38% | 6.6 |
| 3 | IPS (A) | 78.3 | 40% | 32% | 6.5 |
| 4 | FUL (H) | 78.3 | 45% | 33% | 7.3 |
| 5 | BOU (A) | 78.3 | 34% | 26% | 5.5 |
| 6 | MCI (H) | 78.3 | 29% | 21% | 5.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
2
Median
6
Ceiling (90th)
13
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)16%
Chance of 5+ points65%
Chance of 10+ points23%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.35
xA90
0.20
xGI90
0.55
BPS90
22.3
DefCon90
8.8
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.58
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
8.0
PPM
8.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NEW (A) | 90 | 1 | 0 | 0.85 | 8 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers