Gravenberch
MIDRyan Gravenberch · Liverpool · £6.0m · 2.0% owned · 5 pts
🔥 Hot Form📉 Fixtures Worsening
xPts GW
2.9
xPts 3
8.6
xPts 5
13.6
Rating
56
HOLDLOWConfidence: LOWBUY BEFORE GW5
Why we rank Gravenberch here
- ▸Home vs NFO: we project LIV for 2.38 goals (our difficulty 1.0/5)
- ▸82% start probability, 63 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.08 xG90, 0.08 xA90 (shrunk to 77 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.19 expected bonus points
- ▸13.6 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (2.27 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs NFO
| Appearance points | 1.59 |
| Goal points | 0.45 |
| Assist points | 0.29 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.36 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.07 |
| Bonus points | 0.19 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.09 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.9 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NFO (H) | 63.2 | 9% | 36% | 2.9 |
| 3 | IPS (A) | 63.2 | 9% | 30% | 2.8 |
| 4 | FUL (H) | 63.2 | 10% | 31% | 3.0 |
| 5 | BOU (A) | 63.2 | 7% | 25% | 2.6 |
| 6 | MCI (H) | 63.2 | 6% | 20% | 2.4 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)53%
Chance of 5+ points18%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.08
xA90
0.08
xGI90
0.16
BPS90
20.9
DefCon90
9.5
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.29
Minutes
77
Starts
1
Form
5.0
PPM
5.0
G+A vs xGI
+0.9
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NEW (A) | 77 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 5 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers