Munoz
MIDVictor Munoz · Liverpool · £6.5m · 0.6% owned · 4 pts
📉 Fixtures Worsening⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
2.4
xPts 3
7.4
xPts 5
11.6
Rating
35
WATCHHIGHConfidence: LOWBUY BEFORE GW5
Why we rank Munoz here
- ▸Home vs NFO: we project LIV for 2.38 goals (our difficulty 1.0/5)
- ▸28% start probability, 36 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.17 xG90, 0.16 xA90 (shrunk to 27 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.10 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 59/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸11.6 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.5m (1.79 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs NFO
| Appearance points | 1.32 |
| Goal points | 0.59 |
| Assist points | 0.33 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.15 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.10 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.06 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.4 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NFO (H) | 36.3 | 11% | 15% | 2.4 |
| 3 | IPS (A) | 36.3 | 11% | 13% | 2.4 |
| 4 | FUL (H) | 36.3 | 13% | 13% | 2.6 |
| 5 | BOU (A) | 36.3 | 9% | 10% | 2.2 |
| 6 | MCI (H) | 36.3 | 8% | 8% | 2.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)73%
Chance of 5+ points16%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.17
xA90
0.16
xGI90
0.33
BPS90
18.7
DefCon90
8.0
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
3.57
Minutes
27
Starts
0
Form
4.0
PPM
4.0
G+A vs xGI
+0.9
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NEW (A) | 27 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 4 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers