Guéhi
DEFMarc Guéhi · Man City · £6.0m · 19.0% owned · 10 pts
🔥 Hot Form💰 Great Value👑 Captain Pick
xPts GW
5.6
xPts 3
18.4
xPts 5
29.4
Rating
100
STRONG BUYLOWConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Guéhi here
- ▸Away vs CRY: we project MCI for 1.91 goals (our difficulty 1.7/5)
- ▸84% start probability, 76 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.24 xG90, 0.12 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 30%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.79 expected bonus points
- ▸29.4 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (4.90 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at CRY
| Appearance points | 1.62 |
| Goal points | 1.67 |
| Assist points | 0.40 |
| Clean sheet points | 1.20 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.14 |
| Bonus points | 0.79 |
| Goals conceded | -0.15 |
| Cards / other | -0.12 |
| Predicted FPL points | 5.6 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CRY (A) | 75.5 | 24% | 30% | 5.6 |
| 3 | COV (H) | 75.5 | 37% | 44% | 8.0 |
| 4 | MUN (A) | 75.5 | 21% | 25% | 4.8 |
| 5 | SUN (H) | 75.5 | 33% | 38% | 7.1 |
| 6 | LIV (A) | 75.5 | 18% | 15% | 3.9 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
2
Median
5
Ceiling (90th)
12
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)27%
Chance of 5+ points56%
Chance of 10+ points16%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.24
xA90
0.12
xGI90
0.36
BPS90
21.5
DefCon90
7.2
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.65
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
10.0
PPM
10.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.2
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOU (H) | 90 | 1 | 0 | 0.89 | 10 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers