Aït-Nouri
DEFRayan Aït-Nouri · Man City · £5.5m · 0.8% owned · 0 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.1
xPts 3
3.5
xPts 5
5.7
Rating
15
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Aït-Nouri here
- ▸Away vs CRY: we project MCI for 1.91 goals (our difficulty 1.7/5)
- ▸23% start probability, 20 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.06 xG90, 0.13 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 9%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.05 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 62/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸5.7 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.04 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at CRY
| Appearance points | 0.54 |
| Goal points | 0.10 |
| Assist points | 0.12 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.34 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.05 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.04 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.1 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CRY (A) | 19.9 | 2% | 9% | 1.1 |
| 3 | COV (H) | 19.9 | 3% | 13% | 1.4 |
| 4 | MUN (A) | 19.9 | 1% | 7% | 1.0 |
| 5 | SUN (H) | 19.9 | 2% | 11% | 1.3 |
| 6 | LIV (A) | 19.9 | 1% | 4% | 0.9 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)85%
Chance of 5+ points6%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.06
xA90
0.13
xGI90
0.19
BPS90
19.9
DefCon90
6.8
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOU (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers