
Khusanov
DEFAbdukodir Khusanov · Man City · £5.5m · 1.8% owned · 2 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
2.0
xPts 3
6.5
xPts 5
10.4
Rating
37
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Khusanov here
- ▸Away vs CRY: we project MCI for 1.91 goals (our difficulty 1.7/5)
- ▸49% start probability, 46 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.04 xG90, 0.07 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 18%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.10 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 46/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸10.4 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.90 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at CRY
| Appearance points | 1.01 |
| Goal points | 0.17 |
| Assist points | 0.14 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.72 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.10 |
| Goals conceded | -0.04 |
| Cards / other | -0.06 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.0 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CRY (A) | 45.7 | 3% | 18% | 2.0 |
| 3 | COV (H) | 45.7 | 5% | 26% | 2.6 |
| 4 | MUN (A) | 45.7 | 2% | 15% | 1.8 |
| 5 | SUN (H) | 45.7 | 4% | 23% | 2.4 |
| 6 | LIV (A) | 45.7 | 2% | 9% | 1.5 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)73%
Chance of 5+ points15%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.04
xA90
0.07
xGI90
0.11
BPS90
17.5
DefCon90
7.0
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.65
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOU (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers