Lewis
DEFRico Lewis · Man City · £4.5m · 0.2% owned · 1 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.3
xPts 3
4.0
xPts 5
6.4
Rating
21
SELLMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Lewis here
- ▸Away vs CRY: we project MCI for 1.91 goals (our difficulty 1.7/5)
- ▸35% start probability, 21 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.07 xG90, 0.12 xA90 (shrunk to 56 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 9%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 54/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸6.4 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (1.43 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at CRY
| Appearance points | 0.65 |
| Goal points | 0.14 |
| Assist points | 0.12 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.35 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.3 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CRY (A) | 21.2 | 2% | 9% | 1.3 |
| 3 | COV (H) | 21.2 | 4% | 13% | 1.6 |
| 4 | MUN (A) | 21.2 | 2% | 7% | 1.1 |
| 5 | SUN (H) | 21.2 | 3% | 11% | 1.5 |
| 6 | LIV (A) | 21.2 | 2% | 5% | 1.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)85%
Chance of 5+ points7%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.07
xA90
0.12
xGI90
0.20
BPS90
14.0
DefCon90
6.1
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.88
Minutes
56
Starts
1
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.2
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOU (H) | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers