Semenyo
MIDAntoine Semenyo · Man City · £8.5m · 24.7% owned · 2 pts
xPts GW
4.5
xPts 3
14.7
xPts 5
23.9
Rating
86
STRONG BUYLOWConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Semenyo here
- ▸Away vs CRY: we project MCI for 1.91 goals (our difficulty 1.7/5)
- ▸90% start probability, 82 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.26 xG90, 0.11 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.50 expected bonus points
- ▸23.9 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £8.5m (2.82 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at CRY
| Appearance points | 1.75 |
| Goal points | 1.59 |
| Assist points | 0.39 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.33 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.04 |
| Bonus points | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.14 |
| Predicted FPL points | 4.5 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CRY (A) | 81.6 | 27% | 33% | 4.5 |
| 3 | COV (H) | 81.6 | 41% | 47% | 6.3 |
| 4 | MUN (A) | 81.6 | 23% | 27% | 4.0 |
| 5 | SUN (H) | 81.6 | 37% | 41% | 5.6 |
| 6 | LIV (A) | 81.6 | 20% | 17% | 3.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
2
Median
3
Ceiling (90th)
9
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)33%
Chance of 5+ points40%
Chance of 10+ points8%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.26
xA90
0.11
xGI90
0.36
BPS90
18.9
DefCon90
6.7
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.65
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOU (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers