Foden
MIDPhil Foden · Man City · £7.0m · 4.2% owned · 1 pts
xPts GW
3.0
xPts 3
10.1
xPts 5
16.4
Rating
58
HOLDMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Foden here
- ▸Away vs CRY: we project MCI for 1.91 goals (our difficulty 1.7/5)
- ▸65% start probability, 53 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.22 xG90, 0.24 xA90 (shrunk to 81 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.26 expected bonus points
- ▸16.4 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £7.0m (2.34 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at CRY
| Appearance points | 1.29 |
| Goal points | 0.88 |
| Assist points | 0.57 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.23 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.26 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.19 |
| Predicted FPL points | 3.0 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CRY (A) | 53.1 | 16% | 23% | 3.0 |
| 3 | COV (H) | 53.1 | 26% | 34% | 4.3 |
| 4 | MUN (A) | 53.1 | 14% | 19% | 2.7 |
| 5 | SUN (H) | 53.1 | 22% | 29% | 3.9 |
| 6 | LIV (A) | 53.1 | 12% | 12% | 2.4 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
7
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)53%
Chance of 5+ points28%
Chance of 10+ points4%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.22
xA90
0.24
xGI90
0.46
BPS90
21.4
DefCon90
7.3
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.72
Minutes
81
Starts
1
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.5
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOU (H) | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers