Buendía
MIDEmiliano Buendía Stati · Aston Villa · £6.0m · 1.2% owned · 2 pts
🎯 Penalty Taker
xPts GW
1.8
xPts 3
6.3
xPts 5
10.5
Rating
35
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Buendía here
- ▸Home vs ARS: we project AVL for 0.88 goals (our difficulty 4.1/5)
- ▸59% start probability, 51 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.24 xG90, 0.12 xA90 (shrunk to 85 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.09 expected bonus points
- ▸10.5 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (1.75 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs ARS
| Appearance points | 1.19 |
| Goal points | 0.43 |
| Assist points | 0.13 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.08 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.01 |
| Bonus points | 0.09 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.12 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.8 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ARS (H) | 51.2 | 8% | 8% | 1.8 |
| 3 | HUL (A) | 51.2 | 13% | 16% | 2.2 |
| 4 | NFO (H) | 51.2 | 13% | 19% | 2.3 |
| 5 | TOT (A) | 51.2 | 11% | 12% | 2.0 |
| 6 | BRE (H) | 51.2 | 12% | 15% | 2.2 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)81%
Chance of 5+ points11%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.24
xA90
0.12
xGI90
0.36
BPS90
15.9
DefCon90
9.2
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
3.83
Minutes
85
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.2
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BHA (A) | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers