Dorgu
MIDPatrick Dorgu · Man Utd · £6.0m · 1.2% owned · 0 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.6
xPts 3
4.0
xPts 5
6.8
Rating
23
SELLMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Dorgu here
- ▸Home vs IPS: we project MUN for 2.14 goals (our difficulty 1.3/5)
- ▸51% start probability, 24 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.22 xG90, 0.12 xA90 (shrunk to 45 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.05 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 45/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸6.8 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (1.13 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs IPS
| Appearance points | 0.88 |
| Goal points | 0.46 |
| Assist points | 0.15 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.14 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.05 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.11 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.6 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | IPS (H) | 24 | 9% | 14% | 1.6 |
| 3 | EVE (A) | 24 | 5% | 8% | 1.2 |
| 4 | MCI (H) | 24 | 5% | 7% | 1.2 |
| 5 | FUL (A) | 24 | 6% | 9% | 1.3 |
| 6 | TOT (H) | 24 | 7% | 12% | 1.4 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)82%
Chance of 5+ points11%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.22
xA90
0.12
xGI90
0.34
BPS90
14.5
DefCon90
6.5
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.84
Minutes
45
Starts
1
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.5
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HUL (A) | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0.47 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers