Dalot
DEFDiogo Dalot Teixeira · Man Utd · £5.0m · 2.6% owned · 1 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
2.4
xPts 3
5.9
xPts 5
10.0
Rating
34
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Dalot here
- ▸Home vs IPS: we project MUN for 2.14 goals (our difficulty 1.3/5)
- ▸49% start probability, 42 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.06 xG90, 0.08 xA90 (shrunk to 10 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 20%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.10 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 46/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸10.0 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (2.01 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs IPS
| Appearance points | 1.16 |
| Goal points | 0.27 |
| Assist points | 0.17 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.81 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.10 |
| Goals conceded | -0.03 |
| Cards / other | -0.08 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.4 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | IPS (H) | 42.3 | 4% | 20% | 2.4 |
| 3 | EVE (A) | 42.3 | 3% | 12% | 1.8 |
| 4 | MCI (H) | 42.3 | 2% | 10% | 1.7 |
| 5 | FUL (A) | 42.3 | 3% | 13% | 1.9 |
| 6 | TOT (H) | 42.3 | 3% | 17% | 2.2 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)69%
Chance of 5+ points21%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.06
xA90
0.08
xGI90
0.14
BPS90
15.8
DefCon90
7.0
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
10
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HUL (A) | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers