Martinez
DEFLisandro Martínez · Man Utd · £5.0m · 1.3% owned · 0 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.1
xPts 3
2.7
xPts 5
4.5
Rating
9
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Martinez here
- ▸Home vs IPS: we project MUN for 2.14 goals (our difficulty 1.3/5)
- ▸23% start probability, 20 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.03 xG90, 0.05 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 10%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 62/100 — Flagged: 100% chance of playing
- ▸4.6 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (0.91 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs IPS
| Appearance points | 0.54 |
| Goal points | 0.06 |
| Assist points | 0.05 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.38 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.01 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.1 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | IPS (H) | 19.8 | 1% | 10% | 1.1 |
| 3 | EVE (A) | 19.8 | 1% | 6% | 0.8 |
| 4 | MCI (H) | 19.8 | 1% | 5% | 0.8 |
| 5 | FUL (A) | 19.8 | 1% | 6% | 0.9 |
| 6 | TOT (H) | 19.8 | 1% | 8% | 1.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)87%
Chance of 5+ points5%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.03
xA90
0.05
xGI90
0.08
BPS90
17.3
DefCon90
7.6
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HUL (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers