Guessand
MIDEvann Guessand · Crystal Palace · £5.5m · 0.0% owned · 1 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.5
xPts 3
5.0
xPts 5
8.3
Rating
19
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Guessand here
- ▸Home vs MCI: we project CRY for 0.94 goals (our difficulty 4.0/5)
- ▸20% start probability, 32 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.14 xG90, 0.10 xA90 (shrunk to 27 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 64/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸8.3 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.51 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs MCI
| Appearance points | 1.25 |
| Goal points | 0.16 |
| Assist points | 0.07 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.04 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.02 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.5 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MCI (H) | 31.6 | 3% | 4% | 1.5 |
| 3 | FUL (A) | 31.6 | 4% | 5% | 1.6 |
| 4 | IPS (H) | 31.6 | 6% | 9% | 1.8 |
| 5 | LEE (A) | 31.6 | 4% | 6% | 1.6 |
| 6 | NFO (H) | 31.6 | 5% | 9% | 1.7 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)92%
Chance of 5+ points4%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.14
xA90
0.10
xGI90
0.24
BPS90
14.3
DefCon90
8.1
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.47
Minutes
27
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EVE (A) | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers