Mbeumo
MIDBryan Mbeumo · Man Utd · £8.0m · 36.4% owned · 2 pts
⚽ Goal Threat👑 Captain Pick🚩 Set Pieces
xPts GW
5.5
xPts 3
12.8
xPts 5
21.7
Rating
75
STRONG BUYLOWConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Mbeumo here
- ▸Home vs IPS: we project MUN for 2.14 goals (our difficulty 1.3/5)
- ▸79% start probability, 72 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.39 xG90, 0.19 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.68 expected bonus points
- ▸21.7 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £8.0m (2.72 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs IPS
| Appearance points | 1.55 |
| Goal points | 2.37 |
| Assist points | 0.71 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.32 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.68 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.09 |
| Predicted FPL points | 5.5 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | IPS (H) | 71.7 | 38% | 32% | 5.5 |
| 3 | EVE (A) | 71.7 | 24% | 19% | 3.7 |
| 4 | MCI (H) | 71.7 | 22% | 15% | 3.6 |
| 5 | FUL (A) | 71.7 | 29% | 20% | 4.3 |
| 6 | TOT (H) | 71.7 | 31% | 27% | 4.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
2
Median
5
Ceiling (90th)
11
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)26%
Chance of 5+ points53%
Chance of 10+ points16%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.39
xA90
0.19
xGI90
0.58
BPS90
17.5
DefCon90
5.4
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.01
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.7
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HUL (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.50 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers