Cunha
MIDMatheus Santos Carneiro da Cunha · Man Utd · £8.0m · 9.6% owned · 2 pts
xPts GW
3.8
xPts 3
9.3
xPts 5
15.8
Rating
56
HOLDMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Cunha here
- ▸Home vs IPS: we project MUN for 2.14 goals (our difficulty 1.3/5)
- ▸76% start probability, 61 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.25 xG90, 0.16 xA90 (shrunk to 79 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.34 expected bonus points
- ▸15.8 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £8.0m (1.97 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs IPS
| Appearance points | 1.49 |
| Goal points | 1.27 |
| Assist points | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.30 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.01 |
| Bonus points | 0.34 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.08 |
| Predicted FPL points | 3.8 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | IPS (H) | 60.5 | 22% | 30% | 3.8 |
| 3 | EVE (A) | 60.5 | 13% | 19% | 2.8 |
| 4 | MCI (H) | 60.5 | 13% | 14% | 2.7 |
| 5 | FUL (A) | 60.5 | 17% | 19% | 3.1 |
| 6 | TOT (H) | 60.5 | 18% | 26% | 3.3 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
3
Ceiling (90th)
8
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)43%
Chance of 5+ points34%
Chance of 10+ points6%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.25
xA90
0.16
xGI90
0.41
BPS90
20.2
DefCon90
7.2
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
1.15
Minutes
79
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.4
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HUL (A) | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers