Rashford
MIDMarcus Rashford · Man Utd · £7.0m · 1.7% owned · 1 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
2.4
xPts 3
6.3
xPts 5
10.6
Rating
29
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Rashford here
- ▸Home vs IPS: we project MUN for 2.14 goals (our difficulty 1.3/5)
- ▸31% start probability, 38 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.16 xG90, 0.18 xA90 (shrunk to 45 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.10 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 57/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸10.5 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £7.0m (1.51 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs IPS
| Appearance points | 1.34 |
| Goal points | 0.53 |
| Assist points | 0.36 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.15 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.10 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.06 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.4 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | IPS (H) | 38.2 | 10% | 15% | 2.4 |
| 3 | EVE (A) | 38.2 | 6% | 9% | 1.9 |
| 4 | MCI (H) | 38.2 | 6% | 7% | 1.9 |
| 5 | FUL (A) | 38.2 | 7% | 9% | 2.1 |
| 6 | TOT (H) | 38.2 | 8% | 13% | 2.2 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
6
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)73%
Chance of 5+ points15%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.16
xA90
0.18
xGI90
0.35
BPS90
17.7
DefCon90
7.9
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.18
Minutes
45
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HUL (A) | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers