Amad
MIDAmad Diallo · Man Utd · £6.0m · 1.1% owned · 0 pts
🚑 Availability Risk
⚠️ Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
xPts GW
1.4
xPts 3
3.6
xPts 5
6.0
Rating
11
AVOIDHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Amad here
- ▸Home vs IPS: we project MUN for 2.14 goals (our difficulty 1.3/5)
- ▸30% start probability, 25 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.19 xG90, 0.17 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.06 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 83/100 — Flagged: 75% chance of playing
- ▸6.0 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (1.00 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs IPS
| Appearance points | 0.64 |
| Goal points | 0.40 |
| Assist points | 0.22 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.12 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.06 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.03 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.4 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | IPS (H) | 24.8 | 8% | 12% | 1.4 |
| 3 | EVE (A) | 24.8 | 5% | 8% | 1.1 |
| 4 | MCI (H) | 24.8 | 4% | 6% | 1.1 |
| 5 | FUL (A) | 24.8 | 6% | 8% | 1.2 |
| 6 | TOT (H) | 24.8 | 6% | 11% | 1.3 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)82%
Chance of 5+ points10%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.19
xA90
0.17
xGI90
0.36
BPS90
17.3
DefCon90
7.9
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HUL (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers