Mainoo
MIDKobbie Mainoo · Man Utd · £5.5m · 1.0% owned · 1 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.8
xPts 3
5.0
xPts 5
8.3
Rating
23
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Mainoo here
- ▸Home vs IPS: we project MUN for 2.14 goals (our difficulty 1.3/5)
- ▸29% start probability, 36 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.07 xG90, 0.09 xA90 (shrunk to 23 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.06 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 58/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸8.3 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.51 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs IPS
| Appearance points | 1.28 |
| Goal points | 0.22 |
| Assist points | 0.16 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.14 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.06 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.8 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | IPS (H) | 35.9 | 4% | 14% | 1.8 |
| 3 | EVE (A) | 35.9 | 3% | 8% | 1.6 |
| 4 | MCI (H) | 35.9 | 2% | 7% | 1.6 |
| 5 | FUL (A) | 35.9 | 3% | 9% | 1.6 |
| 6 | TOT (H) | 35.9 | 3% | 12% | 1.7 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)84%
Chance of 5+ points7%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.07
xA90
0.09
xGI90
0.16
BPS90
17.8
DefCon90
9.3
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.27
Minutes
23
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HUL (A) | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers