Lacey
MIDShea Lacey · Man Utd · £5.0m · 0.0% owned · 1 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.1
xPts 3
3.0
xPts 5
5.0
Rating
9
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Lacey here
- ▸Home vs IPS: we project MUN for 2.14 goals (our difficulty 1.3/5)
- ▸18% start probability, 20 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.12 xG90, 0.11 xA90 (shrunk to 10 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 65/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸5.0 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (0.99 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs IPS
| Appearance points | 0.70 |
| Goal points | 0.20 |
| Assist points | 0.11 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.08 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.03 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.1 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | IPS (H) | 20.4 | 4% | 8% | 1.1 |
| 3 | EVE (A) | 20.4 | 2% | 5% | 0.9 |
| 4 | MCI (H) | 20.4 | 2% | 4% | 0.9 |
| 5 | FUL (A) | 20.4 | 3% | 5% | 1.0 |
| 6 | TOT (H) | 20.4 | 3% | 7% | 1.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)90%
Chance of 5+ points5%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.12
xA90
0.11
xGI90
0.23
BPS90
14.8
DefCon90
8.4
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
10
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HUL (A) | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers