Zirkzee
FWDJoshua Zirkzee · Man Utd · £5.5m · 0.6% owned · 0 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk⚽ Goal Threat
xPts GW
0.9
xPts 3
2.2
xPts 5
3.7
Rating
5
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Zirkzee here
- ▸Home vs IPS: we project MUN for 2.14 goals (our difficulty 1.3/5)
- ▸17% start probability, 15 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.35 xG90, 0.10 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 65/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸3.7 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (0.67 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs IPS
| Appearance points | 0.43 |
| Goal points | 0.37 |
| Assist points | 0.08 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.00 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 0.9 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | IPS (H) | 15.2 | 9% | 7% | 0.9 |
| 3 | EVE (A) | 15.2 | 5% | 4% | 0.7 |
| 4 | MCI (H) | 15.2 | 5% | 3% | 0.7 |
| 5 | FUL (A) | 15.2 | 6% | 4% | 0.7 |
| 6 | TOT (H) | 15.2 | 7% | 6% | 0.8 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
3
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)88%
Chance of 5+ points3%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.35
xA90
0.10
xGI90
0.45
BPS90
18.3
DefCon90
5.3
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HUL (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers