Pope
GKPNick Pope · Newcastle · £5.0m · 1.3% owned · 0 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.8
xPts 3
5.4
xPts 5
9.2
Rating
31
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWSHORT-TERM BUY
Why we rank Pope here
- ▸Away vs TOT: we project NEW for 1.38 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸45% start probability, 37 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.01 xG90, 0.00 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 10%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.05 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 48/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸9.2 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (1.84 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at TOT
| Appearance points | 0.94 |
| Goal points | 0.02 |
| Assist points | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.40 |
| Save points | 0.44 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.05 |
| Goals conceded | -0.05 |
| Cards / other | -0.04 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.8 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | TOT (A) | 36.6 | 0% | 10% | 1.8 |
| 3 | BOU (H) | 36.6 | 0% | 13% | 1.8 |
| 4 | LEE (A) | 36.6 | 0% | 12% | 1.8 |
| 5 | HUL (H) | 36.6 | 0% | 17% | 1.9 |
| 6 | COV (A) | 36.6 | 0% | 15% | 1.9 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)88%
Chance of 5+ points6%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.01
xA90
0.00
xGI90
0.01
BPS90
16.1
DefCon90
0.0
Saves90
3.18
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIV (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers