Thiaw
DEFMalick Thiaw · Newcastle · £5.0m · 1.7% owned · 3 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving💰 Great Value
xPts GW
3.0
xPts 3
9.5
xPts 5
17.0
Rating
66
BUYLOWConfidence: LOWSHORT-TERM BUY
Why we rank Thiaw here
- ▸Away vs TOT: we project NEW for 1.38 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸78% start probability, 71 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.10 xG90, 0.03 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 17%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.12 expected bonus points
- ▸17.0 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (3.40 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at TOT
| Appearance points | 1.53 |
| Goal points | 0.48 |
| Assist points | 0.07 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.69 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.39 |
| Bonus points | 0.12 |
| Goals conceded | -0.25 |
| Cards / other | -0.08 |
| Predicted FPL points | 3.0 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | TOT (A) | 71 | 8% | 17% | 3.0 |
| 3 | BOU (H) | 71 | 10% | 22% | 3.4 |
| 4 | LEE (A) | 71 | 8% | 20% | 3.1 |
| 5 | HUL (H) | 71 | 11% | 29% | 3.9 |
| 6 | COV (A) | 71 | 11% | 25% | 3.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
7
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)59%
Chance of 5+ points24%
Chance of 10+ points3%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.10
xA90
0.03
xGI90
0.13
BPS90
11.6
DefCon90
9.7
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
2.98
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
3.0
PPM
3.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIV (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers