Schär
DEFFabian Schär · Newcastle · £5.0m · 0.3% owned · 1 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
0.8
xPts 3
2.5
xPts 5
4.5
Rating
9
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOWSHORT-TERM BUY
Why we rank Schär here
- ▸Away vs TOT: we project NEW for 1.38 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸21% start probability, 18 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.07 xG90, 0.06 xA90 (shrunk to 1 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 5%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.03 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 63/100 — Flagged: 100% chance of playing
- ▸4.5 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (0.90 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at TOT
| Appearance points | 0.50 |
| Goal points | 0.08 |
| Assist points | 0.03 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.19 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.03 |
| Goals conceded | -0.01 |
| Cards / other | -0.02 |
| Predicted FPL points | 0.8 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | TOT (A) | 18 | 1% | 5% | 0.8 |
| 3 | BOU (H) | 18 | 2% | 6% | 0.9 |
| 4 | LEE (A) | 18 | 1% | 6% | 0.8 |
| 5 | HUL (H) | 18 | 2% | 8% | 1.0 |
| 6 | COV (A) | 18 | 2% | 7% | 0.9 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)92%
Chance of 5+ points3%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.07
xA90
0.06
xGI90
0.13
BPS90
15.8
DefCon90
8.6
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
71.10
Minutes
1
Starts
0
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIV (H) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers