
Burn
DEFDan Burn · Newcastle · £5.0m · 1.8% owned · 0 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving🚑 Availability Risk
⚠️ Ankle injury - Expected back 14 Sep
xPts GW
0.0
xPts 3
0.1
xPts 5
0.1
Rating
0
AVOIDHIGHConfidence: LOWSHORT-TERM BUY
Why we rank Burn here
- ▸Away vs TOT: we project NEW for 1.38 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸0% start probability, 0 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.05 xG90, 0.03 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 0%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.02 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 100/100 — Flagged: 0% chance of playing
- ▸0.1 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (0.02 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at TOT
| Appearance points | 0.00 |
| Goal points | 0.00 |
| Assist points | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.00 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.02 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | 0.00 |
| Predicted FPL points | 0.0 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | TOT (A) | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| 3 | BOU (H) | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| 4 | LEE (A) | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| 5 | HUL (H) | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
| 6 | COV (A) | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
0
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)100%
Chance of 5+ points0%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.05
xA90
0.03
xGI90
0.08
BPS90
13.2
DefCon90
8.7
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIV (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers