McGinn
MIDJohn McGinn · Aston Villa · £5.5m · 2.9% owned · 1 pts
🚩 Set Pieces
xPts GW
1.7
xPts 3
5.9
xPts 5
9.8
Rating
36
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank McGinn here
- ▸Home vs ARS: we project AVL for 0.88 goals (our difficulty 4.1/5)
- ▸69% start probability, 57 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.11 xG90, 0.14 xA90 (shrunk to 81 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.09 expected bonus points
- ▸9.8 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.77 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs ARS
| Appearance points | 1.36 |
| Goal points | 0.22 |
| Assist points | 0.16 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.09 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.09 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.21 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.7 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ARS (H) | 56.6 | 4% | 9% | 1.7 |
| 3 | HUL (A) | 56.6 | 7% | 18% | 2.0 |
| 4 | NFO (H) | 56.6 | 7% | 22% | 2.1 |
| 5 | TOT (A) | 56.6 | 6% | 14% | 1.9 |
| 6 | BRE (H) | 56.6 | 6% | 18% | 2.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
3
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)82%
Chance of 5+ points8%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.11
xA90
0.14
xGI90
0.25
BPS90
16.2
DefCon90
6.9
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
4.02
Minutes
81
Starts
1
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BHA (A) | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers