Bruno G.
MIDBruno Guimarães Rodriguez Moura · Arsenal · £7.0m · 3.1% owned · 0 pts
🚑 Availability Risk
⚠️ Thigh injury - 75% chance of playing
xPts GW
1.4
xPts 3
4.3
xPts 5
7.3
Rating
17
AVOIDHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Bruno G. here
- ▸Away vs AVL: we project ARS for 1.97 goals (our difficulty 1.5/5)
- ▸32% start probability, 26 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.20 xG90, 0.18 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.07 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 82/100 — Flagged: 75% chance of playing
- ▸7.3 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £7.0m (1.04 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at AVL
| Appearance points | 0.67 |
| Goal points | 0.40 |
| Assist points | 0.22 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.12 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.07 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.06 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.4 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AVL (A) | 25.8 | 8% | 12% | 1.4 |
| 3 | CHE (H) | 25.8 | 8% | 10% | 1.4 |
| 4 | SUN (A) | 25.8 | 9% | 13% | 1.5 |
| 5 | BHA (A) | 25.8 | 7% | 10% | 1.3 |
| 6 | LEE (H) | 25.8 | 9% | 16% | 1.6 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)81%
Chance of 5+ points10%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.20
xA90
0.18
xGI90
0.38
BPS90
23.0
DefCon90
9.0
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COV (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers