Elanga
MIDAnthony Elanga · Newcastle · £6.0m · 1.7% owned · 9 pts
🔥 Hot Form📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.6
xPts 3
5.0
xPts 5
8.8
Rating
30
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWSHORT-TERM BUY
Why we rank Elanga here
- ▸Away vs TOT: we project NEW for 1.38 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸49% start probability, 38 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.15 xG90, 0.11 xA90 (shrunk to 75 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.07 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 46/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸8.8 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (1.47 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at TOT
| Appearance points | 1.01 |
| Goal points | 0.31 |
| Assist points | 0.14 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.11 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.07 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.02 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.6 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | TOT (A) | 38.2 | 6% | 11% | 1.6 |
| 3 | BOU (H) | 38.2 | 8% | 14% | 1.8 |
| 4 | LEE (A) | 38.2 | 6% | 13% | 1.6 |
| 5 | HUL (H) | 38.2 | 9% | 18% | 1.9 |
| 6 | COV (A) | 38.2 | 8% | 16% | 1.9 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
3
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)83%
Chance of 5+ points8%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.15
xA90
0.11
xGI90
0.26
BPS90
17.3
DefCon90
5.2
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
2.33
Minutes
75
Starts
1
Form
9.0
PPM
9.0
G+A vs xGI
+0.8
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIV (H) | 75 | 1 | 0 | 0.22 | 9 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers