
Tonali
MIDSandro Tonali · Spurs · £5.5m · 3.9% owned · 2 pts
🚩 Set Pieces
xPts GW
2.2
xPts 3
6.6
xPts 5
10.9
Rating
42
WATCHMEDConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Tonali here
- ▸Home vs NEW: we project TOT for 1.44 goals (our difficulty 2.8/5)
- ▸75% start probability, 68 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.07 xG90, 0.10 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.12 expected bonus points
- ▸10.9 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (1.98 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs NEW
| Appearance points | 1.47 |
| Goal points | 0.28 |
| Assist points | 0.23 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.17 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.03 |
| Bonus points | 0.12 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.09 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.2 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | NEW (H) | 67.8 | 6% | 17% | 2.2 |
| 3 | NFO (A) | 67.8 | 4% | 19% | 2.1 |
| 4 | EVE (H) | 67.8 | 5% | 21% | 2.2 |
| 5 | AVL (H) | 67.8 | 6% | 22% | 2.3 |
| 6 | MUN (A) | 67.8 | 4% | 13% | 2.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
5
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)71%
Chance of 5+ points12%
Chance of 10+ points1%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.07
xA90
0.10
xGI90
0.17
BPS90
16.0
DefCon90
8.1
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
3.87
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BRE (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers