J.Ramsey
MIDJacob Ramsey · Newcastle · £5.0m · 0.4% owned · 0 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.6
xPts 3
4.8
xPts 5
8.4
Rating
24
SELLHIGHConfidence: LOWSHORT-TERM BUY
Why we rank J.Ramsey here
- ▸Away vs TOT: we project NEW for 1.38 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸26% start probability, 35 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.10 xG90, 0.10 xA90 (shrunk to 34 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.05 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 60/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸8.4 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (1.67 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at TOT
| Appearance points | 1.30 |
| Goal points | 0.18 |
| Assist points | 0.11 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.07 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.05 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.14 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.6 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | TOT (A) | 35 | 4% | 7% | 1.6 |
| 3 | BOU (H) | 35 | 5% | 9% | 1.7 |
| 4 | LEE (A) | 35 | 4% | 8% | 1.6 |
| 5 | HUL (H) | 35 | 5% | 12% | 1.8 |
| 6 | COV (A) | 35 | 5% | 10% | 1.7 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
3
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)89%
Chance of 5+ points5%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.10
xA90
0.10
xGI90
0.19
BPS90
16.1
DefCon90
9.5
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
3.97
Minutes
34
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.1
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIV (H) | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers