Steur
MIDSean Steur · Newcastle · £5.0m · 0.1% owned · 1 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.0
xPts 3
3.1
xPts 5
5.4
Rating
17
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWSHORT-TERM BUY
Why we rank Steur here
- ▸Away vs TOT: we project NEW for 1.38 goals (our difficulty 2.9/5)
- ▸41% start probability, 24 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.10 xG90, 0.10 xA90 (shrunk to 55 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.03 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 51/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸5.4 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (1.08 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at TOT
| Appearance points | 0.73 |
| Goal points | 0.13 |
| Assist points | 0.08 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.06 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.03 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.03 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.0 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | TOT (A) | 23.7 | 3% | 6% | 1.0 |
| 3 | BOU (H) | 23.7 | 3% | 8% | 1.1 |
| 4 | LEE (A) | 23.7 | 3% | 7% | 1.0 |
| 5 | HUL (H) | 23.7 | 4% | 10% | 1.2 |
| 6 | COV (A) | 23.7 | 4% | 9% | 1.1 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)92%
Chance of 5+ points3%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.10
xA90
0.10
xGI90
0.21
BPS90
13.2
DefCon90
7.9
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
2.42
Minutes
55
Starts
1
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LIV (H) | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers