Sels
GKPMatz Sels · Nott'm Forest · £5.0m · 1.5% owned · 2 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving
xPts GW
2.5
xPts 3
7.9
xPts 5
13.6
Rating
50
HOLDMEDConfidence: LOWSELL AFTER GW4
Why we rank Sels here
- ▸Away vs LIV: we project NFO for 0.75 goals (our difficulty 4.8/5)
- ▸73% start probability, 66 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.00 xG90, 0.00 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 6%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.08 expected bonus points
- ▸13.6 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (2.73 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at LIV
| Appearance points | 1.43 |
| Goal points | 0.00 |
| Assist points | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.25 |
| Save points | 1.21 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.08 |
| Goals conceded | -0.42 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 2.5 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LIV (A) | 66.1 | 0% | 6% | 2.5 |
| 3 | TOT (H) | 66.1 | 0% | 21% | 2.8 |
| 4 | AVL (A) | 66.1 | 0% | 16% | 2.6 |
| 5 | COV (H) | 66.1 | 0% | 29% | 3.0 |
| 6 | CRY (A) | 66.1 | 0% | 17% | 2.7 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
1
Median
3
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)30%
Chance of 5+ points8%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.00
xA90
0.00
xGI90
0.00
BPS90
14.6
DefCon90
0.0
Saves90
2.91
xGC90
0.47
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LEE (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers