Kamara
MIDBoubacar Kamara · Aston Villa · £5.0m · 0.3% owned · 2 pts
⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.2
xPts 3
4.0
xPts 5
6.6
Rating
21
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWFIXTURES TURN
Why we rank Kamara here
- ▸Home vs ARS: we project AVL for 0.88 goals (our difficulty 4.1/5)
- ▸51% start probability, 47 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.05 xG90, 0.06 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.06 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 45/100 — Flagged: 100% chance of playing
- ▸6.6 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.0m (1.32 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 vs ARS
| Appearance points | 1.04 |
| Goal points | 0.09 |
| Assist points | 0.06 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.07 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.06 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.11 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.2 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | ARS (H) | 46.7 | 2% | 7% | 1.2 |
| 3 | HUL (A) | 46.7 | 3% | 14% | 1.4 |
| 4 | NFO (H) | 46.7 | 3% | 16% | 1.4 |
| 5 | TOT (A) | 46.7 | 2% | 10% | 1.3 |
| 6 | BRE (H) | 46.7 | 3% | 13% | 1.3 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)91%
Chance of 5+ points3%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.05
xA90
0.06
xGI90
0.12
BPS90
15.2
DefCon90
8.7
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
3.77
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BHA (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers