Jair Cunha
DEFJair Paula da Cunha Filho · Nott'm Forest · £4.5m · 0.2% owned · 1 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
0.8
xPts 3
3.2
xPts 5
5.8
Rating
15
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWSELL AFTER GW4
Why we rank Jair Cunha here
- ▸Away vs LIV: we project NFO for 0.75 goals (our difficulty 4.8/5)
- ▸36% start probability, 34 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.04 xG90, 0.03 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Clean sheet probability GW2: 3%
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 54/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸5.8 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £4.5m (1.29 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at LIV
| Appearance points | 0.78 |
| Goal points | 0.05 |
| Assist points | 0.02 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.13 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | -0.08 |
| Cards / other | -0.10 |
| Predicted FPL points | 0.8 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LIV (A) | 34.1 | 1% | 3% | 0.8 |
| 3 | TOT (H) | 34.1 | 1% | 11% | 1.3 |
| 4 | AVL (A) | 34.1 | 1% | 8% | 1.1 |
| 5 | COV (H) | 34.1 | 2% | 15% | 1.5 |
| 6 | CRY (A) | 34.1 | 1% | 9% | 1.1 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
0
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)94%
Chance of 5+ points3%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.04
xA90
0.03
xGI90
0.07
BPS90
11.8
DefCon90
7.8
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.47
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
1.0
PPM
1.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LEE (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers