Gibbs-White
MIDMorgan Gibbs-White · Nott'm Forest · £8.0m · 9.5% owned · 2 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving🚑 Availability Risk
⚠️ Knee injury - 75% chance of playing
xPts GW
1.7
xPts 3
6.0
xPts 5
10.8
Rating
29
AVOIDHIGHConfidence: LOWSELL AFTER GW4
Why we rank Gibbs-White here
- ▸Away vs LIV: we project NFO for 0.75 goals (our difficulty 4.8/5)
- ▸56% start probability, 51 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.26 xG90, 0.11 xA90 (shrunk to 90 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.10 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 67/100 — Flagged: 75% chance of playing
- ▸10.8 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £8.0m (1.35 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at LIV
| Appearance points | 1.11 |
| Goal points | 0.40 |
| Assist points | 0.10 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.05 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.10 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.03 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.7 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LIV (A) | 51.2 | 8% | 5% | 1.7 |
| 3 | TOT (H) | 51.2 | 13% | 17% | 2.3 |
| 4 | AVL (A) | 51.2 | 11% | 12% | 2.0 |
| 5 | COV (H) | 51.2 | 18% | 23% | 2.7 |
| 6 | CRY (A) | 51.2 | 11% | 13% | 2.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
2
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)84%
Chance of 5+ points10%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.26
xA90
0.11
xGI90
0.37
BPS90
18.6
DefCon90
5.4
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.47
Minutes
90
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.2
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LEE (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers