
Anderson
MIDElliot Anderson · Man City · £6.5m · 6.4% owned · 2 pts
🚑 Availability Risk🚩 Set Pieces
⚠️ Knock - 75% chance of playing
xPts GW
1.6
xPts 3
5.2
xPts 5
8.4
Rating
27
AVOIDHIGHConfidence: LOW
Why we rank Anderson here
- ▸Away vs CRY: we project MCI for 1.91 goals (our difficulty 1.7/5)
- ▸57% start probability, 36 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.08 xG90, 0.17 xA90 (shrunk to 62 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.08 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 67/100 — Flagged: 75% chance of playing
- ▸8.4 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.5m (1.30 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at CRY
| Appearance points | 0.96 |
| Goal points | 0.23 |
| Assist points | 0.27 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.14 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.01 |
| Bonus points | 0.08 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.07 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.6 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CRY (A) | 36.1 | 5% | 14% | 1.6 |
| 3 | COV (H) | 36.1 | 7% | 20% | 2.0 |
| 4 | MUN (A) | 36.1 | 4% | 11% | 1.5 |
| 5 | SUN (H) | 36.1 | 6% | 18% | 1.9 |
| 6 | LIV (A) | 36.1 | 3% | 7% | 1.4 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
4
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)81%
Chance of 5+ points8%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.08
xA90
0.17
xGI90
0.25
BPS90
20.4
DefCon90
12.2
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.80
Minutes
62
Starts
1
Form
2.0
PPM
2.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.2
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOU (H) | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers