Hudson-Odoi
MIDCallum Hudson-Odoi · Nott'm Forest · £6.0m · 0.2% owned · 0 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk
xPts GW
1.1
xPts 3
3.6
xPts 5
6.2
Rating
16
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWSELL AFTER GW4
Why we rank Hudson-Odoi here
- ▸Away vs LIV: we project NFO for 0.75 goals (our difficulty 4.8/5)
- ▸37% start probability, 30 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.14 xG90, 0.15 xA90 (shrunk to 0 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 53/100 — Flagged: 100% chance of playing
- ▸6.2 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £6.0m (1.04 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at LIV
| Appearance points | 0.79 |
| Goal points | 0.12 |
| Assist points | 0.08 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.03 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.02 |
| Predicted FPL points | 1.1 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LIV (A) | 30.4 | 3% | 3% | 1.1 |
| 3 | TOT (H) | 30.4 | 4% | 11% | 1.3 |
| 4 | AVL (A) | 30.4 | 4% | 8% | 1.2 |
| 5 | COV (H) | 30.4 | 6% | 15% | 1.5 |
| 6 | CRY (A) | 30.4 | 4% | 9% | 1.2 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)93%
Chance of 5+ points4%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.14
xA90
0.15
xGI90
0.29
BPS90
17.0
DefCon90
6.3
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.00
Minutes
0
Starts
0
Form
0.0
PPM
0.0
G+A vs xGI
0
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LEE (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers