McAtee
MIDJames McAtee · Nott'm Forest · £5.5m · 0.1% owned · 3 pts
📈 Fixtures Improving⚠️ Rotation Risk🚩 Set Pieces
xPts GW
0.9
xPts 3
3.0
xPts 5
5.2
Rating
13
SELLMEDConfidence: LOWSELL AFTER GW4
Why we rank McAtee here
- ▸Away vs LIV: we project NFO for 0.75 goals (our difficulty 4.8/5)
- ▸40% start probability, 30 expected minutes
- ▸Underlying: 0.10 xG90, 0.14 xA90 (shrunk to 73 mins of data)
- ▸Bonus model: 0.04 expected bonus points
- ▸Risk 52/100 — rotation uncertainty
- ▸5.2 xPts over the next 5 GWs at £5.5m (0.94 xPts/£m)
Points breakdown — GW2 at LIV
| Appearance points | 0.72 |
| Goal points | 0.09 |
| Assist points | 0.07 |
| Clean sheet points | 0.02 |
| Save points | 0.00 |
| Defensive contribution | 0.00 |
| Bonus points | 0.04 |
| Goals conceded | 0.00 |
| Cards / other | -0.05 |
| Predicted FPL points | 0.9 |
Fixture-by-fixture projection
| GW | Opp | xMins | P(goal) | P(CS) | xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | LIV (A) | 30.3 | 2% | 2% | 0.9 |
| 3 | TOT (H) | 30.3 | 3% | 8% | 1.1 |
| 4 | AVL (A) | 30.3 | 2% | 6% | 1.0 |
| 5 | COV (H) | 30.3 | 4% | 11% | 1.2 |
| 6 | CRY (A) | 30.3 | 2% | 6% | 1.0 |
Next Gameweek distribution
Floor (10th)
0
Median
1
Ceiling (90th)
2
Chance of a blank (≤2 pts)94%
Chance of 5+ points2%
Chance of 10+ points0%
Underlying data (per 90, shrunk)
xG90
0.10
xA90
0.14
xGI90
0.23
BPS90
16.8
DefCon90
9.0
Saves90
0.00
xGC90
0.42
Minutes
73
Starts
1
Form
3.0
PPM
3.0
G+A vs xGI
-0.2
Recent matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | xG | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LEE (H) | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 |
Data — · Model —. FPL projections are estimates, not guarantees. How the model works · Spread betting model · Free bet offers